6th TFO Awards: Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

The nominees for Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role are:

  • Tom Hardy – Locke
  • Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year
  • Michael Keaton – Birdman Or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
  • Ghilherme Lobo – The Way He Looks
  • Antoine Olivier Pilon – Mommy

And The Final Oscar goes to…

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Finalists (6-12): TBA

Semi-finalists (13-20): TBA

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PREVIOUSLY POSTED: Opening Remarks | Original Screenplay | Adapted Screenplay | Production Design – Contemporary | Production Design – Period | Casting | Costume Design – Period | Costume Design – Contemporary | Actor in a Supporting Role | Visual Effects | Makeup and Hairstyling | Sound Editing | Sound Mixing | Actress in a Supporting Role | Music – Original Song | Music – Adapted or Song Score | Music – Original Score | Cinematography | Film Editing | Ensemble | Animated Feature | Documentary Feature | Directing | Actress in a Leading Role

6th TFO Awards: THE ACTORS

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Celebrate 2014 in film with THE ACTORS.

6th TFO Awards: Live Online Awards Marathon
April 14 (Friday) | 8 AM onwards PHT

The nominees for Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role are:

Tom Hardy – Locke
Oscar Isaac – A Most Violent Year
Michael Keaton – Birdman Or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
Ghilherme Lobo – The Way He Looks
Antoine Olivier Pilon – Mommy

The nominees for Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role are:

Ibrahim Ahmed – Tmbuktu
Jeremy Irvine – The Railway Man
Edward Norton – Birdman Or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
Fabrizio Rongione – Two Days, One Night
J.K. Simmons – Whiplash

RECAP: 5th TFO Awards (2013)

The fifth year of this blog’s awards, the TFO Awards, honoured the excellence in film for the year 2013. The awards were posted in April 2015.

The year’s big winner Alfonso Cuaron’s science fiction thriller Gravity, winning eight of its ten nominations including Best Motion Picture and Best Directing (Cuaron).

The rest of the Best Picture nominees were 12 Years a Slave (10 nominations), Her (8), Inside Llewyn Davis (8), The Past (6), The Wolf of Wall Street (5), Before Midnight (3), Enough Said (3).

Derek Cianfrance’s The Place Beyond the Pines and Olivier Assayas’ Something in the Air got lone nominations for the same category.

Scroll down below to see the complete list of winners and nominees.

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Best Motion Picture

  • 12 Years a Slave – Dede Gardner, Anthony Katagas, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen, Arnon Milchan, Brad Pitt, Bill Pohlad
  • Before Midnight – Christos V. Konstantakopoulos, Richard Linklater, Sara Woodhatch
  • Enough Said – Stephanie Azpiazu, Anthony Bregman
  • *WINNER* Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron, David Heyman
  • Her – Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze, Vincent Landay
  • Inside Llewyn Davis – Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin
  • The Past – Alexandre Mallet-Guy
  • The Place Beyond the Pines – Lynette Howell, Sydney Kimmel, Alex Orlovsky, Jamie Patricof
  • Something in the Air – Charles Gillibert, Nathanael Karmitz
  • The Wolf of Wall Street – Riza Aziz, Leonardo DiCaprio, Joey MacFarland, Martin Scorsese, Emma Tillinger Koskoff

Best Achievement in Directing

  • Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
  • *WINNER* Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
  • Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Asghar Farhadi – The Past
  • Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

  • Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
  • *WINNER* Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
  • Joaquin Phoenix – Her

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

  • *WINNER* Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
  • Sandra Bullock – Gravity
  • Julie Delpy – Before Midnight
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Enough Said
  • Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Bobby Cannavale – Blue Jasmine
  • Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
  • Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
  • Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
  • *WINNER* Tahar Rahim – The Past

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

  • *WINNER* Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine
  • Julianne Nicholson – August: Osage County
  • Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
  • Kristin Scott-Thomas – Only God Forgives
  • Lea Seydoux – Blue is the Warmest Color

Best Performance by an Ensemble

  • 12 Years a Slave – Bill Camp, Chris Chalk, Benedict Cumberbatch, Paul Dano, Garret Dillahunt, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Michael Fassbender, Paul Giamatti, Taran Killam, Scoot McNairy, Lupita Nyong’o, Adepero Oduye, Sarah Paulson, Brad Pitt, Michael Kenneth Williams, Alfre Woodard
  • American Hustle – Amy Adams, Christian Bale, Louis C.K., Colleen Camp, Bradley Cooper, Robert DeNiro, Paul Herman, Jack Huston, Jennifer Lawrence, Alessandro Nivola, Michael Pena, Jeremy Renner, Elisabeth Rohm, Shea Whigham
  • *WINNER* August: Osage County – Abigail Breslin, Chris Cooper, Benedict Cumberbatch, Juliette Lewis, Margo Martindale, Ewan McGregor, Dermot Mulroney, Julianne Nicholson, Julia Roberts, Sam Shepard, Meryl Streep, Misty Upham
  • The Past – Elyes Aguis, Berenice Bejo, Pauline Burlet, Valeria Cavalli, Jeanne Jestin, Babak Karimi, Ali Mosaffa, Sabrina Ouazani, Tahar Rahim
  • The Wolf of Wall Street – Jon Bernthal, P.J. Byrne, Katarina Cas, Kyle Chandler, Kenneth Choi, Leonardo DiCaprio, Jean Dujardin, Christine Ebersole, Jon Favreau, Jonah Hill, Joanna Lumley, Matthew McConaughey, Cristin Milioti, Rob Reiner, Margot Robbie, Brian Sacca, Shea Whigham, Henry Zebrowski

Best Original Screenplay

  • Enough Said – Nicole Holofcener
  • Her – Spike Jonze
  • *WINNER* Inside Llewyn Davis – Joel Coen, Ethen Coen
  • The Kings of Summer – Chris Galletta
  • The Past – Asghar Farhadi

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • 12 Years a Slave – John Ridley
  • August: Osage County – Tracy Letts
  • *WINNER* Before Midnight – Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke
  • Philomena – Steven Coogan, Jeff Pope
  • The Wolf of Wall Street – Terence Winter

Best Animated Feature

  • The Croods – Chris Sanders & Kirk DeMicco
  • Despicable Me 2 – Pierre Coffin & Chris Renaud
  • *WINNER* Ernest & Celestine – Stephane Aubier, Vincent Patar, Benjamin Renner
  • Frozen – Jennifer Lee & Chris Buck
  • Monsters University – Dan Scanlon

Best Achievement in Cinematography

  • *WINNER* Gravity – Emmanuel Lubezki
  • The Great Beauty – Luca Bigazzi
  • Her – Hoyte van Hoytema
  • Inside Llewyn Davis – Bruno Delbonnel
  • Only God Forgives – Larry Smith

Best Achievement in Film Editing

  • 12 Years a Slave – Joe Walker
  • Frances Ha – Jennifer Lame
  • *WINNER* Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
  • Inside Llewyn Davis – Roderick Jaynes
  • The Past – Juliette Welfling

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing

  • All is Lost – Gillian Arthur, Micah Bloomberg, Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor
  • *WINNER* Gravity – Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Bernstead, Chris Munro
  • Inside Llewyn Davis – Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff, Peter F. Kurland
  • Oblivion – Paul Ledford, Juan Peralta, Gary A. Rizzo
  • Spring Breakers – Alex Altman, Aaron Glascock, Gregory H. Watkins

Best Achievement in Sound Editing

  • All is Lost – Steve Boeddeker, Richard Hymns
  • *WINNER* Gravity – Glenn Freemantle
  • Oblivion – Ren Klyce, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
  • Pacific Rim – Scott Martin Gershin
  • World War Z – Nigel Stone, Ethan Van der Ryn

Best Achievement in Original Score

  • 12 Years a Slave – Hans Zimmer
  • *WINNER* Gravity – Steven Price
  • Her – Will Butler & Owen Pallett
  • The Lone Ranger – Hans Zimmer
  • Philomena – Alexandre Desplat

Best Achievement in Adapted or Song Score

  • American Hustle – Danny Elfman, Susan Jacobs
  • *WINNER* Inside Llewyn Davis – T Bone Burnett
  • The Kings of Summer – Ryan Miller
  • Laurence Anyways – Noia
  • Spring Breakers – Cliff Martinez, Skillrex, Randall Poster

Best Achievement in Visual Effects

  • *WINNER* Gravity – Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Neil Corbould
  • The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, Eric Reynolds
  • The Lone Ranger – Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams, John Frazier
  • Oblivion – Eric Barba, Bjorn Mayer
  • Star Trek Into Darkness – Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann, Burt Dalton

Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling

  • 12 Years a Slave – Ma Kalaadevi Ananda
  • American Hustle – Evelyne Noraz, Kathrine Gordon
  • *WINNER* Dallas Buyers Club – Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews
  • Laurence Anyways – Michelle Cote, Colleen Quinton
  • The Lone Ranger – Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua-Casny

Best Achievement in Production Design – Contemporary

  • Gravity – (PD) Andy Nicholson, (SD) Rosie Goodwin, Joanne Woollard
  • The Great Beauty – (PD) Stefania Cella
  • *WINNER* Her – (PD) K.K. Barrett, (SD) Gene Serdena
  • Laurence Anyways – (PD) Anne Pritchard, (SD) Louis Dandonneau, Pascale Deschenes
  • Oblivion – (PD) Darren Gilford, (SD) Ronald R. Reiss

Best Achievement in Production Design – Period

  • Great Expectations – (PD) Clay Smith, (SD) Caroline Smith
  • The Great Gatsby – (PD) Catherine Martin, (SD) Beverly Dunn, Eva Starlite
  • The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – (PD) Dan Hennah, (SD) Simon Bright, Ra Vincent
  • Lines of Wellington – (PD) Isabel Branco, (SD) Stephan Malho
  • *WINNER* The Lone Ranger – (PD) Jess Gonchor, Crash McCreery, (SD) Cheryl Carasik

Best Achievement in Costume Design – Contemporary

  • The Bling Ring – Stacey Battat
  • Blue Jasmine – Suzy Benzinger
  • The Great Beauty – Daniela Ciancio
  • Her – Casey Storm
  • *WINNER* Laurence Anyways – Francois Barbeau, Xavier Dolan

Best Achievement in Costume Design – Period

  • *WINNER* American Hustle – Michael Wilkinson
  • The Grandmaster – William Chang
  • Great Expectations – Beatrix Aruna Pasztor
  • The Great Gatsby – Catherine Martin
  • The Invisible Woman – Michael O’ Connor

Best Achievement in Original Song

  • *WINNER* “Happy” from Despicable Me 2
    Music and Lyric by Pharrell Williams
  • “Last Mile Home” from August: Osage County
    Music and Lyric by Caleb Followill, Nathan Followill, Jared Followill, Matthew Followill
  • “Let It Go” from Frozen
    Music and Lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez
  • “The Moon Song” from Her
    Music by Karen O; Lyric by Karen O, Spike Jonze
  • “Young and Beautiful” from The Great Gatsby
    Music and Lyric by Lana del Ray & Rick Nowels

NOTE: Best Documentary Feature was not existing categories during this awards.

Click here to see the actual posts on the 5th TFO Awards.

88th Academy Awards Nominations – FINAL PREDICTIONS

88thoscars_key_hostHere it is! With the craziness this awards season have, I feel like it’s the right time to be gutsier with my predictions. I don’t know/care if I fare poorly with my predictions; it’s an all-too-unpredictable race with all precedent stats and precursors thrown out of the window, it’s just right to give my forecast come Thursday morning.

(Note: I did not include predictions for the three short film categories – live action, animated, documentary).

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Best Picture

spotlight (1)

  • The Big Short
  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Spotlight

… if 6 – Mad Max: Fury Road
… if 7 – Carol
… if 8 – Room
(I’m predicting 8)
… if 9 – Straight Outta Compton
… if 10 – Inside Out

Alt: (#11) Sicario | (#12) Brooklyn | (#13) Son of Saul | (#14) Ex Machina | (#15) Star Wars: The Force Awakens | (#16) Beasts of No Nation | (#17) Joy | (#18) Steve Jobs | (#19) Trumbo | (#20) Creed | (#21) The Danish Girl

Very very tough to predict especially from #8 to # 16. The Danish Girl may lack the visible passion, but you never know since it’s an emotional story that feels timely despite being a period film. The buzz for Creed, Trumbo, and Steve Jobs has faded, but might pull viable longshots. Hear me out with Joy – despite getting mixed reviews, again, it is a timely film; never forget Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close got nominated in 2011 despite much more polarizing reviews.

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Best Director

2015-5-Feature-Mad-Max-George-Miller-set-WB

  • Todd Haynes – Carol
  • George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Ridley Scott – The Martian
  • Alejandro G. Iñarritu – The Revenant
  • Tom McCarthy – Spotlight

Alt: (#6) Adam McKay – The Big Short | (#7) Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies | (#8) Laszlo Nemes – Son of Saul | (#9) Denis Villeneuve – Sicario | (#10) Alex Garland – Ex Machina

Haynes is definitely the most vulnerable here with his film lacking guild support. McCarthy is also not a sure thing since Spotlight slipped a bit from its frontrunner status. Scott and Miller, while veterans and could play that card, are with non-traditional films (comedy sci-fi and apocalyptic action film), making Iñarritu the only safe choice. McKay seemed like a safer prediction with its current frontrunner status, but screw it – I’m going with Haynes.

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Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

leonardo-dicaprio-the-revenant

  • Steve Carell – The Big Short
  • Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
  • Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
  • Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

Alt: (#6) Matt Damon – The Martian | (#7) Will Smith – Concussion | (#8) Ian McKellen – Mr. Holmes | (#9) Geza Rohrig – Son of Saul | (#10) Johnny Depp – Black Mass | (#11) Michael B. Jordan – Creed | (#12) Michael Caine – Youth

DiCaprio is the frontrunner, Cranston and Fassbender are safe, Redmayne seems to be coasting towards a nomination despite the lack of passion for the film. Carell is my predicted semi-spoiler to replace Golden Globe winner Damon.

Watch out for both Smith and especially McKellen as surprise nominees, given how they worked the campaign circuit. Son of Saul certainly has presence and makes Rohrig a feasible longshot. Buzz for Depp has faded, but might get in especially because of his star power.

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Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

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  • Cate Blanchett – Carol
  • Brie Larson – Room
  • Jenifer Lawrence – Joy
  • Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
  • Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn

Alt: (#6) Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl | (#7) Rooney Mara – Carol | (#8) Emily Blunt – Sicario | (#9) Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road | (#10) Blythe Danner – I’ll See You in My Dreams | (#11) Lily Tomlin – Grandma | (#12) Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van | (#13) Sarah Silverman – I Smile Back | (#14) Helen Mirren – Woman in Gold

Blanchett, Larson, and Ronan are safe. Rampling has solid critical support backing her a la Emmanuelle Riva (2012) and Marion Cotillard (2014). Lawrence is the most vulnerable despite the Golden Globe win (it doesn’t count). Normal logic would dictate Vikander or Mara but category confusion and vote splitting are foreseeable hurdles.

If the strong guild support signals Sicario’s prevalence come Thursday morning then expect Blunt pulling off a surprise nomination. Theron could also use the critical support on her performance despite having a film atypical in terms of acting nominations.

#10 to #12 are all veterans seemingly on the hunt of the same spot; I give the edge to Danner for being the first screener sent, then Tomlin for peaking at an early time, albeit too early,  then Smith for the late surge of support. Silverman’s SAG nomination must not be unseen, the same with Mirren (though she would probably get more votes for Trumbo).

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Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

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  • Christian Bale – The Big Short
  • Tom Hardy – The Revenant
  • Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
  • Sylvester Stallone – Creed
  • Jacob Tremblay – Room

Alt: (#6) Michael Keaton – Spotlight | (#7) Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation | (#8) Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight | (#9) Paul Dano – Love and Mercy | (#10) Benicio del Toro – Sicario | (#11) Michael Shannon – 99 Homes | (#12) Jason Mitchell – Straight Outta Compton | (#13) Oscar Isaac – Ex Machina | (#14) Stanley Tucci – Spotlight

Rylance is the only one safe for the nomination, and he’s not even safe for the win. Bale is also a good bet to be nominated even if some see him as leading. Hardy can ride with DiCaprio’s buzz, Stallone would get a veteran vote (again, not counting his Golden Globe victory), and if Brie Larson is the frontrunner for Best Actress, they must notice Tremblay.

Keaton has the goodwill from last year’s loss for Birdman and he has the biggest role in the Spotlight cast but the lack of notices and the NYFCC win for LEADING might hurt. Elba has critical support but his film seems like an outsider in the race. In Spotlight’s cast, Ruffalo has the “big” scene and BAFTA noticed. Dano had a strong showing throughout the precursor awards, but buzz for the film slips away and category confusion hurts.

If Sicario shows up well, del Toro can show up. Shannon earns both Golden Globe and SAG nominations for a very small film, meaning the performance made a strong impression, but the strength of the film must be seen when pitted against the bigger contenders. Mitchell gets MVP notices for Straight Outta Compton, Isaac might show up if Ex Machina fares really well, and Tucci is definitely getting support for his small but memorable role in Spotlight.

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Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

alicia.vikander

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
  • Rooney Mara – Carol
  • Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
  • Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
  • Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs

Alt: (#6) Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina | (#7) Helen Mirren – Trumbo | (#8) Joan Allen – Room | (#9) Jane Fonda – Youth | (#10) Kristen Stewart – Clouds of Sils Maria | (#11) Elizabeth Banks – Love and Mercy | (#12) Marion Cotillard – MacBeth

Winslet is the only one safe here for the nomination. Mara is in the big threat of category confusion. Vikander has a double whammy – category confusion for The Danish Girl and vote splitting with Ex Machina. Between the two, I’m predicting they’d settle for the more traditional role (The Danish Girl) than an outré one (Ex Machina) The Hateful Eight is not showing up so strongly so Leigh is not very safe and McAdams is in danger of Spotlight losing its footing as the strong frontrunner, of being overlooked for bigger and showier performances in the cast, and of being pitted against bigger and showier performances from other films including obvious leads and co-leads.

Mirren has a fun, scene-stealing performance in Trumbo that doesn’t have much substance compared to the other competing performances, Joan Allen shines with her limited time in Room and might benefit from Larson’s frontrunner status but the film is losing Best Picture buzz, and Fonda is a strong presence in the Academy and is said to have a memorable part in Youth. Stewart, Banks, and Cotillard all have critical support going for them, therefore making them viable longshots.

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Best Original Screenplay

spotlight (2)

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Inside Out
  • Spotlight
  • Trainwreck

Alt: (#6) Ex Machina | (#7) Straight Outta Compton | (#8) Son of Saul | (#9) Sicario | (#10) Grandma

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Best Adapted Screenplay

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  • The Big Short
  • Brooklyn
  • The Martian
  • Room
  • Steve Jobs

Alt: (#6) Carol | (#7) The Revenant | (#8) Trumbo | (#9) Anomalisa | (#10) The Danish Girl

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Best Cinematography

The-Revenant1

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Carol
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Sicario

Alt: (#6) Son of Saul | (#7) The Hateful Eight | (#8) The Martian | (#9) The Danish Girl | (#10) Star Wars: The Force Awakens

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Best Film Editing

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  • The Big Short
  • Bridge of Spies
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Spotlight

Alt: (#6) Straight Outta Compton | (#7) The Revenant | (#8) Sicario | (#9) Carol | (#10) Star Wars: The Force Awakens

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Best Sound Mixing

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  • Bridge of Spies
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Straight Outta Compton

Alt: (#6) Star Wars: The Force Awakens | (#7) Spectre | (#8) Sicario | (#9) The Hateful Eight

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Best Sound Editing

martian-movie-images-matt-damon-ridley-scoot

  • Inside Out
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: (#6) Bridge of Spies | (#7) Sicario | (#8) Spectre | (#9) The Hateful Eight

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Best Original Score

  • Bridge of Spies (Thomas Newman)
  • Carol (Carter Burwell)
  • The Hateful Eight (Ennio Morricone)
  • Inside Out (Michael Giacchino)
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens (John Williams)

Alt: (#6) Spotlight | (#7) The Danish Girl | (#8) Mad Max: Fury Road | (#9) Steve Jobs | (#10) Sicario | (#11) The Martian | (#12) Brooklyn | (#13) Ex Machina

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Best Visual Effects

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  • Ex Machina
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • The Walk

Alt: (#6) Avengers: Age of Ultron | (#7) The Revenant | (#8) Jurassic World | (#9) Ant-Man | (#10) Tomorrowland

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Best Makeup and Hairstyling

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  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Mr. Holmes
  • The Revenant

Alt: (#4) The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared | (#5) Black Mass | (#6) Concussion | (#7) Legend

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Best Production Design

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  • Bridge of Spies
  • Carol
  • The Danish Girl
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian

Alt: (#6) Star Wars: The Force Awakens | (#7) The Revenant | (#8) Room | (#9) The Hateful Eight | (#10) Brooklyn

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Best Costume Design

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  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • Cinderella
  • The Danish Girl
  • Far from the Madding Crowd

Alt: (#6) MacBeth | (#7) The Revenant | (#8) The Hateful Eight | (#9) Mad Max: Fury Road | (#10) Crimson Peak

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Best Original Song

Spectre-2015-Wallpapers

  • “I’ll See You in My Dreams” – I’ll See You in My Dreams
  • “See You Again” – Furious 7
  • “Simple Song # 3” – Youth
  • “’Til It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
  • “Writing’s on the Wall” – Spectre

Alt: (#6) “Who Can You Trust” – Spy | (#7) “So Long” – Concussion | (#8) “Waiting for My Moment” – Creed | (#9) “Earned It” – Fifty Shades of Grey | (#10) “Cold One” – Ricki and the Flash

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Best Foreign Language Film

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  • Belgium – The Brand New Testament
  • France – Mustang
  • Hungary – Son of Saul
  • Jordan – Theeb
  • Denmark – A War

Alt: (#6) Ireland – Viva | (#7) Finland – The Fencer | (#8) “Colombia – Embrace of the Serpent | (#9) Germany – Labyrinth of Lies

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Best Animated Feature

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  • Anomalisa
  • The Good Dinosaur
  • Inside Out
  • Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet
  • Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alt: (#6) The Peanuts Movie | (#7) When Marnie was There | (#8) Moomins in the Riviera | (#9) Boy and the World | (#10) Minions

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Best Documentary Feature

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  • Amy
  • Best of Enemies
  • The Hunting Ground
  • The Look of Silence
  • Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Alt: (#6) Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief | (#7) Listen to Me Marlon | (#8) Heart of a Dog | (#9) He Named Me Malala | (#10) 3 ½ Minutes, 10 Bullets | (#11) We Come as Friends | (#12) Where to Invade Next

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What’s your predictions?

 

FINAL PREDICTIONS! (for the 86th Academy Awards Nominations)

Here is my fearless forecast of the nominees for the 86th Academy Awards!
(Those in bold are my predicted nominees. Entries are arranged by the strongest chance of getting nominated.)
The leading contenders for Best Picture - 12 Years A Slave, Gravity, and American Hustle.

The leading contenders for Best Picture – 12 Years A Slave, Gravity, and American Hustle.

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BEST PICTURE (I’m counting NINE nominees):
Safe Bets:
1 – 12 Years A Slave
2 – American Hustle
3 – Gravity
4 – Nebraska
5 – Captain Philips

Shaky, But Likely the Ones to Complete the List:
6 – Her
7 – The Wolf of Wall Street
8 – Inside Llewyn Davis
9 – Dallas Buyers Club

They Could Knock Down the Shakier Ones:
10 – Philomena
11 – Saving Mr. Banks
12 – Lee Daniels’ The Butler
13 – Blue Jasmine
14 – Rush

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
15 – Before Midnight
16 – Blue is the Warmest Color
17 – Fruitvale Station

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BEST DIRECTOR

Safe Bets:
1 – Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
2 – Steve McQueen – 12 Years A Slave
3 – David O. Russell – American Hustle

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – Paul Greengrass – Captain Philips
5 – Spike Jonze – Her
6 – Alexander Payne – Nebraska
7 – Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
8 – Joel & Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis

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BEST ACTOR

Safe Bets:
1 – Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years A Slave
2 – Bruce Dern – Nebraska
3 – Tom Hanks – Captain Philips

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
5 – Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
6 – Robert Redford – All is Lost
7 – Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
8 – Christian Bale – American Hustle
9 – Forest Whitaker – Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
10 – Joaquin Phoenix – Her
11 – Michael B. Jordan – Fruitvale Station

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BEST ACTRESS

Safe Bets:
1 – Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
2 – Sandra Bullock – Gravity
3 – Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
5 – Amy Adams – American Hustle
6 – Judi Dench – Philomena
7 – Adele Exarchopoulos – Blue is the Warmest Color

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
8 – Greta Gerwig – Frances Ha
9 – Brie Larson – Short Term 12
10 – Julie Delpy – Before Midnight

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Safe Bets:
1 – Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
2 – Michael Fassbender – 12 Years A Slave

Fighting for the Slots:
3 – Barkhad Abdi – Captain Philips
4 – Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
5 – Daniel Bruhl – Rush
6 – Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
7 – James Gandolfini – Enough Said
8 – Will Forte – Nebraska
9 – Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Safe Bets:
1 – Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years A Slave
2 – Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
3 – June Squibb – Nebraska

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniels’ The Butler
5 – Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
6 – Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine
7 – Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
8 – Jennifer Garner – Dallas Buyers Club
9 – Sarah Paulson – 12 Years A Slave

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BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Safe Bets:
1 – American Hustle
2 – Nebraska
3 – Inside Llewyn Davis
4 – Her

Fighting for the Slots:
5 – Blue Jasmine
6 – Gravity
7 – Dallas Buyers Club
8 – Saving Mr. Banks

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
9 – Enough Said
10 – Frances Ha
11 – Fruitvale Station

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BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Safe Bets:
1 – 12 Years A Slave
2 – The Wolf of Wall Street
3 – Before Midnight
4 – Captain Philips
5 – Philomena

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
6 – August: Osage County
7 – Short Term 12
8 – The Spectacular Now
9 – Blue is the Warmest Color

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BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – Inside Llewyn Davis
3 – 12 Years A Slave

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – Prisoners
5 – Nebraska
6 – The Grandmaster
7 – The Great Gatsby
8 – Her

Longer Shots, But Still Possible:
9 – Captain Philips
10 – Rush

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BEST FILM EDITING

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – 12 Years A Slave
3 – American Hustle
4 – Captain Philips

Fighting for the Last Slot:
5 – The Wolf of Wall Street
6 – Rush
7 – Nebraska
8 – Inside Llewyn Davis

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BEST SOUND MIXING

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – Captain Philips
3 – 12 Years A Slave
4 – Rush

Fighting for the  Last Slot:
5 – Inside Llewyn Davis
6 – All is Lost
7 – American Hustle

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
8 – Lone Survivor
9 – Pacific Rim
10 – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

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BEST SOUND EDITING

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – Captain Philips
3 – Rush

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – All is Lost
5 – Iron Man 3
6 – Inside Llewyn Davis

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
7 – Pacific Rim
8 – 12 Years A Slave
9 – Lone Survivor
10 – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

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BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Fighting for the Slots:
3 – Pacific Rim
4 – Star Trek Into Darkness
5 – Iron Man 3
6 – Elysium
7 – World War Z
8 – The Lone Ranger

Longer Shots (The Rest of the Shortlist):
9 – Oblivion
10 – Thor: The Dark World

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BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Safe Bet:
1 – American Hustle

Fighting for the Slots:
2 – Dallas Buyers Club
3 – The Great Gatsby
4 – The Lone Ranger
5 – Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters
6 – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Long Shot (The Rest of the Shortlist):
7 – Bad Grandpa

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BEST ORIGINAL MUSIC SCORE

Safe Bets:
1 – Gravity
2 – 12 Years A Slave
3 – Philomena

Fighting for the Last Slot:
4 – The Book Thief
5 – All is Lost

6 – Captain Philips
7 – Rush
8 – Her
9 – Monsters University

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BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Safe Bet:
1 – “Let It Go” – Frozen

Fighting for the Slots:
2 – “Young and Beautiful” – The Great Gatsby
3 – “My Lord Sunsine (Sunrise)” – 12 Years A Slave
4 – “The Moon Song” – Her
5 – “Amen” – All is Lost
6 – “Atlas” – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
7 – “Monsters University” – Monsters University

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
8 – “Shine Your Way” – The Croods
9 – “Sweeter than Fiction” – One Chance

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BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Safe Bets:
1 – 12 Years A Slave
2 – Gravity
3 – American Hustle
4 – The Great Gatsby
5 – Saving Mr. Banks

Possible Spoilers:
6 – Her
7 – Inside Llewyn Davis
8 – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

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BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Safe Bets:
1 – Saving Mr. Banks
2 – American Hustle
3 – The Great Gatsby
4 – Inside Llewyn Davis
5 – 12 Years A Slave

Possible Spoilers:
6 – The Invisible Woman
7 – Lee Daniels’ The Butler
8 – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

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BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Safe Bets:
1 – Frozen
2 – The Wind Rises
3 – Monsters University
4 – The Croods
5 – Ernest & Celestine

Possible Spoilers:
6 – Epic
7 – A Letter to Momo

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Safe Bets:
1 – The Act of Killing
2 – 20 Feet from Stardom
3 – Stories We Tell

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – The Square
5 – Blackfish
6 – Tim’s Vermeer
7 – The Armstrong Lie

Longer Shots, But Possible Spoilers:
8 – Cutie and the Boxer
9 – God Loves Uganda

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BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Safe Bets:
1 – The Hunt – Denmark
2 – The Broken Circle Breakdown – Belgium
3 – The Great Beauty – Italy

Fighting for the Slots:
4 – The Grandmaster – Hong Kong
5 – The Notebook – Hungary
6 – Two Lives – Germany
7 – Omar – Palestime
8 – The Missing Picture – Cambodia

Long Shot:
9 – An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker – Bosnia & Herzegovina

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