FINAL PREDICTIONS: 74th Golden Globe Awards

goldeb-globe-predix

The awards season is starting to heat up. At this point,

  • La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, and Moonlight have all consistently showed strong support from critics awards in the Best Picture category.
  • Casey Affleck, Isabelle Huppert, and Mahershala Ali are sweeping the early critics awards while Best Supporting Actress still has no strong frontrunner.
  • Manchester by the Sea gets most of screenplay awards.
  • O.J.: Made in America, despite being an eight-hour miniseries, continues to rule Documentary Feature category, with close competitions like 13th and I Am Not Your Negro, among others.

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) will be announcing the nominees for the 74th Golden Globe Awards on December 12 (Mon) while the awards night will be held on January 8 (Sun). Despite being a very popular precursor awards, a Golden Globe nomination is in no way a guarantee for an Oscar nomination, especially with the split between drama and musical/comedy categories. It doesn’t help though that this is a televised awards show.

Here are my predictions (per category), together with possible spoilers and longshot possibilities. I didn’t have the time to add my opinion per category, so just comment below and let’s talk about them.

MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

  • Fences
  • Loving
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight
  • Silence

Possible Spoilers: Jackie, Lion, Arrival, Hell or High Water, Hacksaw Ridge

Longshot Possibilities: Hidden Figures, Sully, Patriots Day, Nocturnal Animals, Live by Night

MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL/COMEDY

  • 20th Century Women
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Hail, Caesar!
  • La La Land
  • Love & Friendship

Possible Spoilers: Deadpool, Captain Fantastic, Rules Don’t Apply, The Lobster, Sing Street

Longshot Possibilities: The Nice Guys, The Comedian, Ghostbusters, Hello My Name is Doris, Maggie’s Plan

ACTOR – DRAMA        

  • Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
  • Joel Edgerton – Loving
  • Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
  • Tom Hanks – Sully
  • Denzel Washington – Fences

Possible Spoilers: Andrew Garfield – Silence, Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals, Chris Pine – Hell or High Water, Miles Teller – Bleed for This, Matthew McConaughey – Gold

Longshot Possibilities: Mark Wahlberg – Patriots Day, Ben Affleck – Live by Night,               Joseph Gordon-Levitt – Snowden, Chris Pratt – Passengers, Brad Pitt – Allied

ACTOR – MUSICAL/COMEDY      

  • Warren Beatty – Rules Don’t Apply
  • Ryan Gosling – La La Land
  • Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
  • Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool

Possible Spoilers: Michael Keaton – The Founder, Colin Farrell – The Lobster, Adam Driver – Paterson, Robert DeNiro – The Comedian, Ryan Gosling – The Nice Guys

Longshot Possibilities: George Clooney – Hail, Caesar!, Daniel Radcliffe – Swiss Army Man, Paul Dano – Swiss Army Man, Don Cheadle – Miles Ahead, Jonah Hill – War Dogs

ACTRESS – DRAMA        

  • Amy Adams – Arrival
  • Taraji P. Henson – Hidden Figures
  • Isabelle Huppert – Elle
  • Ruth Negga – Loving
  • Natalie Portman – Jackie

Possible Spoilers: Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane, Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train, Rebecca Hall – Christine, Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals, Jennifer Lawrence – Passengers

Longshot Possibilities: Marion Cotillard – Allied, Sarah Paulson – Blue Jay, Rachel Weisz – Denial, Sasha Lane – American Honey, Royalty Hightower – The Fits

ACTRESS – MUSICAL/COMEDY   

  • Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship
  • Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
  • Sally Field – Hello, My Name is Doris
  • Emma Stone – La La Land
  • Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

Possible Spoilers: Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen, Kate McKinnon – Ghostbusters, Renee Zellweger – Bridget Jones’s Baby, Kate Winslet – The Dressmaker, Kristen Stewart – Café Society

Longshot Possibilities: Greta Gerwig – Maggie’s Plan, Susan Sarandon – The Meddler, Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply, Rachel Weisz – The Lobster, Tina Fey – Whiskey Tango Foxtrot

SUPPORTING ACTOR     

  • Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
  • Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
  • Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
  • Dev Patel – Lion
  • Liam Neeson – Silence

Possible Spoilers: Ben Foster – Hell or High Water, Stephen Henderson – Fences,              Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals, Kevin Costner – Hidden Figures, Issei Ogata – Silence

Longshot Possibilities: Peter Sarsgaard – Jackie, Mykelti Williamson – Fences, Adam Driver – Silence, Simon Helberrg – Florence Foster Jenkins, Alan Rickman – Eye in the Sky

SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

  • Viola Davis – Fences
  • Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
  • Naomie Harris – Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman – Lion
  • Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

Possible Spoilers: Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures, Janelle Monae – Hidden Figures, Molly Shannon – Other People, Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women, Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky

Longshot Possibilities: Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls, Lupita Nyong’o – Queen of Katwe, Lily Gladstone – Certain Women, Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Miss Sloane, Chloe Sevigny – Love & Friendship

DIRECTOR       

  • Denzel Washington – Fences
  • Damien Chazelle – La La Land
  • Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
  • Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
  • Martin Scorsese – Silence

Possible Spoilers: Denis Villeneuve – Arrival, Pablo Larrain – Jackie, Garth Davis – Lion, Jeff Nichols – Loving, Clint Eastwood – Sully

Longshot Possibilities: David Mackenzie – Hell or High Water, Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge, Mike Mills – 20th Century Women, Theodore Melfi – Hidden Figures, Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals

SCREENPLAY     

  • Fences
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight

Possible Spoilers: The Lobster, Silence, Loving, 20th Century Women, Arrival

Longshot Possibilities: Jackie, Hell or High Water, Nocturnal Animals, Hidden Figures, Love & Friendship

ORIGINAL SCORE     

  • Arrival
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Jackie
  • La La Land
  • Lion

Possible Spoilers: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, The BFG, Nocturnal Animals, Moonlight, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

ORIGINAL SONG    

  • “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” – La La Land
  • “Can’t Stop the Feeling” – Trolls
  • “City of Stars” – La La Land
  • “How Far I’ll Go” – Moana
  • “I See Victory” – Hidden Figures

Possible Spoilers: “Back to Life” – Queen of Katwe, “Try Everything” –  Zootopia, “Faith” – Sing, “Angel by the Wings” – The Eagle Huntress, “Drive It Like You Stole It” – Sing Street

ANIMATED FEATURE     

  • Finding Dory
  • Kung Fu Panda 3
  • Kubo and the Two Strings
  • Moana
  • Zootopia

Possible Spoilers: Trolls, Sing, Sausage Party, Your Name, The Little Prince

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM        

  • France – Elle
  • Germany – Toni Erdmann
  • Iran – The Salesman
  • Spain – Julieta
  • South Korea – The Handmaiden

Possible Spoilers: Chile – Neruda, Denmark – Land of Mine, United Kingdom – Under the Shadow, Israel – Sand Storm, Canada – It’s Only the End of the World

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