Before my next post for the year 2001 (which is, for your information, Gosford Park), I decided to post my predictions for this year’s Oscars.
This post could have arrived later, but I made this in July 19, so becomes the title.
Here are my early predictions for the top 5 categories (picture, acting categories). Included are the temporary nominees and those competing just below the line. Here they are:
- The Artist – If nostalgia works for them even if it is not ordinary…..
- Contagion – Offbeat competitor, but what a cast, and what a concept!
- A Dangerous Method – Maybe too upsetting, but looks damn good.
- The Descendants – George Clooney attracting votes isn’t possible.
- Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close – A topical issue discussed. And again, what a cast!
- Hugo – As long as Scorsese’s making movies, you can never ignore him.
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo – The original adaptation was so well received, Fincher and Mara here from The Social Network.
- Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen’s most successful film in recent memory is definitely in contention.
- The Tree of Life – High profile film winning the Palm D’Or gives it a big boost even if it is probably too high concept.
- War Horse – Spielberg back in epic form.
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows Part 2
- Super 8
- The Iron Lady
Notes: The nominees for this category may vary in number, but if they will decide that it will be 10, then here it is.
- Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs) – Dream project, gender bending, overdue since 1987.
- Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia) – Cannes win could help. Overdue (they’ve ignored her for a long time already).
- Keira Knightley (A Dangerous Method) – In a strong contender, juicy role, showy, one of the young talents of her generation.
- Rooney Mara (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo) – The Social Network. Memories of Noomi Rapace. ‘Twas a hit critically, so what’s to expect?
- Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady) – Biopic = mimicry. British person = accent. Overdue = Meryl.
- Elizabeth Olsen (Martha May Marcy Marlene)
- Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
- Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)
- Rachel Weisz (The Whistleblower)
- George Clooney (The Descendants) – Some emotional character he has. He’s charming and talented.
- Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar) – Biopic. OVERDUE, OVERDUE, OVERDUE!
- Jean DuJardin (The Artist) – Cannes win could help. It’s a chance for some variety in this field. Also a good timing for some foreign nominee.
- Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method) – He’s in his peak right now (or is this just the start?). Definitely in a strong movie.
- Jeremy Irvine (War Horse) – Call me crazy for predicting this, but if War Horse is really strong, why not also for him?
- Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
- Ryan Gosling (Ides of March)
- Sean Penn (This Must Be The Place)
- Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
Best Supporting Actress
- Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) – After The Blind Side, wouldn’t it be nice to prove again that Sandra is really good?
- Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life) – Maybe memories of her would fade away, but if marketing enters and does well, given her film, she could.
- Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus) – A respected actress who hasn’t been recognized by the Academy for quite some time.
- Andrea Riseborough (W.E.) – Movie will not create a big buzz, but she’s already starting to have support for this.
- Marisa Tomei (Ides of March) – With a talented actress like her, she could do something great. She could do this.
- Judy Davis (The Eye of the Storm)
- Naomi Watts (J. Edgar)
- Kate Winslet (Carnage)
- Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
Best Supporting Actor
- John Hawkes (Martha May Marcy Marlene) – In an another indie film that gained buzz in Sundance. A repeat for him?
- Thomas Horn (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) – Could be a big talent. Lead character, but so young, so easily demote here.
- Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method) – An intense actor in a probable BP nominee. He does good work, and 90% or less, this is a success.
- Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life) – People will still remember him after a year simply because he’s Brad Pitt. Buzz for the film may help him.
- Christopher Plummer (Beginners) – After The Last Station is a intriguing role. If he does it well, the Academy might feel he needs another one.
- Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
- Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
- Colin Firth (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
- Ben Kingsley (Hugo)
What are your early predictions?