FINAL PREDICTIONS FOR THE 83RD ACADEMY AWARDS! ! ! ! !

Here is my full predictions together with my notes on their chances. Here it is:

Legend:

Green – Frontrunners

Red – Potential Spoilers

Pink – Still Has A Chance

Blue – No Chance of Winning

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Best Motion Picture

My Prediction: The King’s Speech – If the three guilds really is a big deal to them, then they would give it to The King’s Speech. It’s a toss.

Major Spoiler: The Social Network – Even if its chances were somewhat lessened by the unexpected success of The King’s Speech, I still believe the precursors and stronger critical support will make it get the gold.

3rd: True Grit – With the shocking support that it had, I should say it still has a run for the gold.

4th: The Fighter – It has all the vital nominations so it may spoil.

5th: Black Swan –Β  After the nominations, I could say we had so much expectations with this in terms of the number of nominations. But who could say? The movie’s a magnet.

6th: Inception – Without the Best Director omission (which I hate!), I can safely say that it will remain in the 6th place, no matter what happens. What’s wrong with the Academy? Do you simply hate Nolan?

7th: The Kids Are All Right – With its topic (which is really relevant), I’m sure there will be some # 1 votes for it.

8th: Toy Story 3 – It has sure supporters! It’s collecting bunch of fans since 1995 and yet, the animation bias is still true.

9th: 127 Hours – Alright. They don’t love Danny Boyle as much as they loved him in Slumdog, but there are already sure votes for it, at least some # 1.

10th: Winter’s Bone – A very few # 1 for it. Maybe almost none, but they surely liked it.

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Best Director

My Prediction: David Fincher (The Social Network) – As I am shaky with TSN getting best picture,I believe it will get this. . . . .

Major Spoiler: Tom Hooper (The King’s Speech) –Β  . . . unless TKS really sweeps.

3rd: Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) – There will be a lot of # 1 votes here. Could get in if the first two are too strong.

4th: Coen Brothers (True Grit) – As long as they make movies, the Academy-based fanbase of the brothers will always be there for him.

5th: David O. Russell (The Fighter) – There wasn’t just much passion for it.

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Best Actor

Frontrunner: Colin Firth (The King’s Speech) – He lost last year. He’s in a frontrunner. He’s getting the awards. Sure win.

Major Spoiler: James Franco (127 Hours) – He still can make it unless . . .

3rd: Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) – . . . the vote for the Youngsters’ award split. Plus: he’s in a frontrunner.

4th: Jeff Bridges (True Grit) – He’ll lose, but the afterglow may either help or damage the support that he has.

5th: Javier Bardem (Biutiful) – He has his peers. But he hasn’t been showing o strong last awards season. So, be happy with your nom.

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Best Actress

Frontrunner: Natalie Portman (Black Swan) – Strong film. Precursors. Pregnant. Physicality. Sure win.

Major Spoiler: Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) – If they still think they owe her the Oscar now, then they may.

3rd: Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone) – BP nominee. Young (but it doesn’t hurt). Upcoming actress. Some votes are ensured.

4th: Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) – Hasn’t won yet. Solely represents the secret love of the Academy for the film. Great campaigning.

5th: Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) – She won already. Support wasn’t so hot. May have very few # 1 votes.

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Best Supporting Actor

Frontrunner: Christian Bale (The Fighter) – Extreme physicality. Actor who is very dedicated. Defined as co-lead. All leading to a win.

Major Spoiler: Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech) – The film may just easily sweep its nominations.

3rd: Jeremy Renner (The Town) – Well, the afterglow worked for him. The results wouldn’t be enough, but there still is.

4th: Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) – Overdue. Somewhat strong film. Votes are ensured.

5th: John Hawkes (Winter’s Bone) – Small film, but expected to pull some # 1, especially with the actors.

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Best Supporting Actress

Frontrunner: Melissa Leo (The Fighter) – She’s been getting all of the important awards. Maybe her self-indulgent ads made a slight damage, but still.

Major Spoiler: Amy Adams (The Fighter) – If they hated those ads. . . . .

3rd: Helena Bonham-Carter (The King’s Speech) – Frontrunner. Film can sweep. It can advantage of the splitting of votes that can happen with the first two.

4th: Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) – Oscars doesn’t necessarily buy category frauds for the win. But such a strong film.

5th: Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) – Bloggers’ support can naturally affect the votes. Maybe few # 1, but there will be, I’m sure.

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Best Original Screenplay

Frontrunner: The King’s Speech – It’s in a frontrunning film. Since its major competitor (TSN) isn’t here, it looks like this will get it if a sweep is decided.

Major Spoiler: Inception – Thy ignored Nolan in director, so this is the best place to pay Nolan. It won the WGA (TKS’s ineligible) and some precursors.

3rd: The Kids Are All Right – Indie sleepers mostly get this when they are able to get in here (Sideways, Crash, Little Miss Sunshine, Juno, etc.).

4th: The Fighter – People are not so passionate about this, but some really love this. It could do the magic.

5th: Another Year – The only nominee that is not a BP nominee. Almost impossible to win.

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Best Adapted Screenplay

Frontrunner: The Social Network – In a frontrunner film, I’m sure it would get it given that its other nominations are not completely safe. This is locked.

Major Spoiler: True Grit – Well, they’re the Coen brothers. They can still get it given that the film had a surprising strong support from the Academy.

3rd: Toy Story 3 – They love the series even if they won’t tell us. And this is another place to reward it if they loved it more.

4th: 127 Hours – I guess it wasn’t really much of a scripted film, but that’s what other people also say about Slumdog and it won.

5th: Winter’s Bone – Same as 127 Hours, it wasn’t much of a scripted film. But support for it is still undeniably existent.

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Best Cinematography

Frontrunner: Inception – It surprisingly got the ASC, so it’s in the lead now.

Major Spoiler: Black Swan – Another frontrunner given the support for the film.

3rd: True Grit – Cinematography in Coen’s films always have support.

4th: The King’s Speech – If they decided for a sweep, then it’s with it.

5th: The Social Network – Another one – if it will have a sweep, then include this.

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Best Film Editing

Frontrunner: The Social Network – It has the ACE, and this really looks like a safe win for the film.

Major Spoiler: The King’s Speech – Given that it is also a frontrunner, it could sweep or simply get this.

3rd: Black Swan – If they go gaga for the film, then it’s a win for it.

4th: The Fighter – Conceived as a potential spoiler, it could possibly get it.

5th: 127 Hours – They loved the style in 2008, but lacking passion for the movie signals that this will not get the award.

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Best Sound Mixing

Frontrunner: Inception – I suspect the love for this film will show up here.

Major Spoiler: True Grit – The only other nominee which is also nominated for Sound Editing. Coen’s movies always sound great.

3rd: The Social Network – It’s a strong movie that can get also this.

4th: The King’s Speech – Sweep alert!

5th: Salt – Sound sgreat, but the only non-BP nominee in a BP-filled category?

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Best Sound Editing

Frontrunner: Inception – Same as with the Sond Mixing.

Major Spoiler: True Grit – It has a chance, though slim.

3rd: Toy Story 3 – If they want to give this movie more than one trophy, than this could happen.

4th: TRON: Legacy – This looks like more of a techy film but this won’t happen.

5th: Unstoppable – This will not happen.

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Best Original Music Score

Frontrunner: Inception – Just guessing. I dunno what’s happening. It looks like a three-way tight race.

Major Spoiler: The Social Network – If the film would sweep, it would get this.

3rd: The King’s Speech – Another sweeper!

4th: 127 Hours – It wouldn’t get the award even if it’s a BP nominee. No chance.

5th: How to Train Your Dragon – Only non-BP nominee. No chance.

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Best Visual Effects

Frontrunner: Inception – It would get this.

Major Spoiler: Alice in Wonderland – The support for this film can be seen in its number of noms, so it could happen.

3rd: Hereafter – Though the only “visual masterpiece” of the film is the tsunami sequence, it could still do magic given that it’s a Clint Eastwood film.

4th: Iron Man 2 – Sequel disadvantage for a populist movie CASE # 1.

5th: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 – Sequel disadvantage for a populist movie CASE # 2.

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Best Make-Up

Frontrunner: The Wolfman – Even if the film was received poorly, the make-up is what the academy usually wants.

Major Spoiler: The Way Back – A possibility given that there are a lot of people to be made up with make-up.

3rd: Barney’s Version – The last is also a major contender because the Academy loves aging.

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Best Costume Design

Frontrunner: The King’s Speech – The only movie here that is predicted to sweep the awards. This could help given that the film is a frontrunner.

Major Spoiler: True Grit – If I’m not mistaken, the designer of the film is overdue. And the film showed up strongly.

3rd: Alice in Wonderland – If not in visual effects, possibly here.

4th: I Am Love – Remember Bright Star? Bloggers’ support frequently show up here! And they love Tilda secretly.

5th: The Tempest – Poor reception, awkward costumes, Helen Mirren. Mixed chances are sure.

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Best Art Direction

Frontrunner: The King’s Speech – Sweep alert!

Major Spoiler: Inception – The technical support for the film seems strong, so it’s possible.

3rd: Alice in Wonderland – Again, it could happen.

4th: True Grit – Because it showed up well, it could happen as well.

5th: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 – They won’t reward the film series yet (there is still Part 2)!

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Best Original Song

Frontrunner: I See the Light (Tangled) – They only pushed for one song for the film, and the love for the film (not in Animate Feature) can show up here.

Major Spoiler: We Belong Together (Toy Story 3) – If they would want to give TS3 more than one nominee, than this will be it.

3rd: If I Rise (127 Hours) – If a need for the film to be given an award rises, this will be it.

4th: Coming Home (Country Strong) – So they actually cared for this?

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Best Animated Feature

Frontunner: Toy Story 3 – Sealed.

Major Spoiler: How to Train Your Dragon – If there is any chance that they wouldn’t want to reward the whole trilogy, then they may settle for this. But that will happen if they haven’t seen the trilogy.

3rd: The Illusionist – Unlike Persepolis where it had a chance, it’s fighting with a BP nominee and a strong Dreamworks movie, so no chance.

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So, what are your predictions? Drop in you comments and let’s see who gets the predictions right on the Big Night! πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ I’m excited!

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5 thoughts on “FINAL PREDICTIONS FOR THE 83RD ACADEMY AWARDS! ! ! ! !

  1. If you’re in the Chicago area and want to watch the Oscars with movie critic Richard Roeper and share your thoughts (and not just write a blog or tweet about it), he’s gonna be watching the Oscars at one of Chicago’s bar & grill restaurants. Maybe aspiring critics, writers, and anyone who wants to get into the industry can have a little chat with him about their aspirations? There’s more info here http://bit.ly/gnlKOz. Sorta unrelated, but amazingly I haven’t seen The Social Network or Black Swan yet. I know, I know, I’m weird and late haha. Can’t wait to watch the Oscars tomorrow though!

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  2. Hmmm, I have a completely different take on Supporting Actress πŸ™‚ Both Melissa and Helena are front-runners imo, with Hailee as a spoiler, and no chance for Amy Adams or Jacki W. I’d be happy with any of the wins, except for Hailee πŸ™‚

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  3. This was an incredible year for the Oscars. I loved Black Swan, The Fighter, The King’s Speech, The Social Network, True Grit, Inception, Toy Story 3, and 127 Hours. I absolutely hated The Kids Are Alright. Winter’s Bone is totally overrated, too. But, the other 8 nominees were amazingly strong. Better than the last few years, in my opinion. The King’s Speech deserved Best Pic, although Black Swan and Social Network were a close second.

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