FINAL PREDICTIONS

I am really nervous by the sudden changes in the race. I saw the whole race, and I was really sad for some films. Here is my FINAL PREDICTIONS! (Don’t forget to vote here!)

Blue – Safe/Lock

Red – Vulnerable

BEST MOTION PICTURE

  • 127 Hours – It’s just either this or The Town. But I still believe Franco could still pull it up. He’s stronger than Renner’s traction.
  • Black Swan – While it’s a lock, I’m just worrying about the squeamish factor.
  • The Fighter – There’s no way that they would ignore this.
  • Inception- It’s a very strong film that got a lot of #1 votes, I’m quite sure.
  • The Kids Are All Right – Maybe Bening did all of the buzz for the film, but it’s quite strong.
  • The King’s Speech – Though it didn’t win a lot of awards for the pic itself, it keeps its position a lock. And the PGA win!
  • The Social Network – Not only the biggest lock, but the safest call for the win.
  • Toy Story 3 – It seems that the Academy already reserved one slot for Pixar entries…
  • True Grit – They just can’t ignore the Coen brothers!
  • Winter’s Bone – Maybe Lawrence is singlehandedly carrying the film to the 10, but it’s still a safe call for the nom.

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BEST DIRECTOR

  • Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan
  • David O. Russell – The Fighter
  • Christopher Nolan – Inception
  • Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech
  • David Fincher – The Social Network

Who could still mess this line-up, seriously?

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BEST LEAD ACTOR

  • Jeff Bridges (True Grit) – I almost gave up on this, but I realize he got stronger buzz than Mark Wahlberg. But how about Ryan Gosling?
  • Robert Duvall (Get Low) – Bardem’s too miserable for this list, and he’s old. Age is important in this category.
  • Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) – Strong movie, continuous nominations everywhere, nobody can’t stop him.
  • James Franco (127 Hours) – I believe the strength of his hype can still bring his film to the Top 10. That’s how strong he is.
  • Colin Firth (The King’s Speech) – Not only a lock, but the win.

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BEST LEAD ACTRESS

  • Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) – Doesn’t really get a lot of awards, but was a lock for a nom ever since.
  • Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) – She hadn’t won anything here, but she’s a safe call in this category.
  • Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone) – She lost some steam for the win once the awards came in, but she’s safe here.
  • Lesley Manville (Another Year) – I’m really still hoping for this. I know Steinfeld, Moore, Williams, Rapace, and Swank could easily steal this, but I’m still hoping. NBR is a big factor (They rarely ignore it!).
  • Natalie Portman – Okay, who wants to question this?

We are just all waiting for the 5th slot, aren’t we?

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Christian Bale (The Fighter) – The winner.
  • Andrew Garfield (The Social Network) – With the aid of a strong film, Never Let Me Go’s acclaim, and Timberlake’s another supporting performance from his film, I still wonder why did the SAG ignore him.
  • Jeremy Renner (The Town) – Carries the film’s only buzz, but still…
  • Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) – He’s great there. And Globe. And SAG!
  • Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech) – Even if his chances of winning are definitely lessened, his chances of getting here aren’t.

A locked category.

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Amy Adams (The Fighter) – The fighter’s strong streak continues…..
  • Helena Bonham-Carter (The King’s Speech) – Not really going for the win but for the safest slot here.
  • Mila Kunis (Black Swan) – It’s either her or Jacki Weaver. Really.
  • Melissa Leo (The Fighter) -The race’s frontrunner for the win.
  • Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) – She’s got a lot of supporting from guilds. But where doesn she really belong? Here or leading? She may slip away….. especially no Globe.

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I have also predictions for the other categories, but I only keep score of the main 6 categories. So, what’s yours? Don’t forget to vote here!

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