I am really nervous by the sudden changes in the race. I saw the whole race, and I was really sad for some films. Here is my FINAL PREDICTIONS! (Don’t forget to vote here!)
Blue – Safe/Lock
Red – Vulnerable
BEST MOTION PICTURE
- 127 Hours – It’s just either this or The Town. But I still believe Franco could still pull it up. He’s stronger than Renner’s traction.
- Black Swan – While it’s a lock, I’m just worrying about the squeamish factor.
- The Fighter – There’s no way that they would ignore this.
- Inception- It’s a very strong film that got a lot of #1 votes, I’m quite sure.
- The Kids Are All Right – Maybe Bening did all of the buzz for the film, but it’s quite strong.
- The King’s Speech – Though it didn’t win a lot of awards for the pic itself, it keeps its position a lock. And the PGA win!
- The Social Network – Not only the biggest lock, but the safest call for the win.
- Toy Story 3 – It seems that the Academy already reserved one slot for Pixar entries…
- True Grit – They just can’t ignore the Coen brothers!
- Winter’s Bone – Maybe Lawrence is singlehandedly carrying the film to the 10, but it’s still a safe call for the nom.
- Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan
- David O. Russell – The Fighter
- Christopher Nolan – Inception
- Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech
- David Fincher – The Social Network
Who could still mess this line-up, seriously?
BEST LEAD ACTOR
- Jeff Bridges (True Grit) – I almost gave up on this, but I realize he got stronger buzz than Mark Wahlberg. But how about Ryan Gosling?
- Robert Duvall (Get Low) – Bardem’s too miserable for this list, and he’s old. Age is important in this category.
- Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) – Strong movie, continuous nominations everywhere, nobody can’t stop him.
- James Franco (127 Hours) – I believe the strength of his hype can still bring his film to the Top 10. That’s how strong he is.
- Colin Firth (The King’s Speech) – Not only a lock, but the win.
BEST LEAD ACTRESS
- Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) – Doesn’t really get a lot of awards, but was a lock for a nom ever since.
- Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) – She hadn’t won anything here, but she’s a safe call in this category.
- Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone) – She lost some steam for the win once the awards came in, but she’s safe here.
- Lesley Manville (Another Year) – I’m really still hoping for this. I know Steinfeld, Moore, Williams, Rapace, and Swank could easily steal this, but I’m still hoping. NBR is a big factor (They rarely ignore it!).
- Natalie Portman – Okay, who wants to question this?
We are just all waiting for the 5th slot, aren’t we?
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Christian Bale (The Fighter) – The winner.
- Andrew Garfield (The Social Network) – With the aid of a strong film, Never Let Me Go’s acclaim, and Timberlake’s another supporting performance from his film, I still wonder why did the SAG ignore him.
- Jeremy Renner (The Town) – Carries the film’s only buzz, but still…
- Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) – He’s great there. And Globe. And SAG!
- Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech) – Even if his chances of winning are definitely lessened, his chances of getting here aren’t.
A locked category.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Amy Adams (The Fighter) – The fighter’s strong streak continues…..
- Helena Bonham-Carter (The King’s Speech) – Not really going for the win but for the safest slot here.
- Mila Kunis (Black Swan) – It’s either her or Jacki Weaver. Really.
- Melissa Leo (The Fighter) -The race’s frontrunner for the win.
- Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) – She’s got a lot of supporting from guilds. But where doesn she really belong? Here or leading? She may slip away….. especially no Globe.
I have also predictions for the other categories, but I only keep score of the main 6 categories. So, what’s yours? Don’t forget to vote here!