71st Primetime Emmy Awards: Nominations – FINAL PREDICTIONS

DRAMA SERIES
Better Call Saul
Game of Thrones
Killing Eve
Ozark
Pose
Succession
This is Us
alt. Homecoming / Bodyguard

ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jason Bateman – Ozark
Sterling K. Brown – This is Us
Kit Harrington – Game of Thrones
Richard Madden – Bodyguard
Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
Billy Porter – Pose
alt. Milo Ventimiglia – This is Us / Brian Cox – Succession

ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Emilia Clarke – Game of Thrones
Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
Laura Linney – Ozark
Sandra Oh – Killing Eve
Julia Roberts – Homecoming
Roin Wright – House of Cards
alt. Christine Baranski – The Good Fight

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jonathan Banks – Better Call Saul
Bobby Cannavale – Homecoming
Nikolaj Coster-Waldau – Game of Thrones
Peter Dinklage – Game of Thrones
Michael Kelly – House of Cards
Peter Mullan – Ozark
alt. Kieran Culkin – Succession / Justin Hartley – This is Us

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Julia Garner – Ozark
Lena Headey – Game of Thrones
Susan Kelechi Watson – This is Us
Chrissy Metz – This is Us
Sophie Turner – Game of Thrones
Maisie Williams – Game of Thrones
alt. Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul / Gwendoline Christie – Game of Thrones / Keeley Hawes – Bodyguard

DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES
Game of Thrones – “The Iron Throne” – David Benioff & D.B. Weiss
Game of Thrones – “The Last of the Starks” – David Nutter
Game of Thrones – “The Long Night” – Miguel Sapochnik
The Handmaid’s Tale – “Holly” – Daina Reid
Homecoming – “Protocol” – Sam Esmail
Pose – “Pilot” – Ryan Murphy
Succession – “Celebration” – Adam McKay
alt. Ozark – “Reparations” – Jason Bateman / The Handmaid’s Tale – “The Word” – Mike Barker

WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES
Game of Thrones – “The Iron Throne”
The Handmaid’s Tale – “Holly”
Homecoming – “Stop”
Killing Eve – “Nce and Neat”
Pose – “Pilot”
Succession – “Nothing is Ever Missing”
alt. Ozark – “The Gold Coast” / Bodyguard – “Episode 01” / This is Us – “The Waiting Room”

GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Michael Angarano – This is Us
James Cromwell – Succession
Griffin Dunne – This is Us
Ron Cephas Jones – This is Us
Christopher Meloni – Pose
Bradley Whitford – The Handmaid’s Tale
alt. Alan Alda – The Good Fight / Andrew Lincoln – The Walking Dead

GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Hong Chau – Homecoming
Cherry Jones – The Handmaid’s Tale
Jessica Lange – American Horror Story: Apocalypse
Phylicia Rashad – This is Us
Cicely Tyson – How to Get Away with Murder
Carice van Houten – Game of Thrones
alt. Laverne Cox – Orange is the New Black

 

COMEDY SERIES
Barry
GLOW
The Good Place
The Kominsky Method
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Veep
Russian Doll
….. if 8, add Fleabag
alt. Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, black-ish

ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Anthony Anderson – black-ish
Sacha Baron Cohen – Who is America?
Ted Danson – The Good Place
Michael Douglas – The Kominsky Method
Bill Hader – Barry
William H. Macy – Shameless
alt. Don Cheadle – Black Monday

ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Pamela Adlon – Better Things
Kristen Bell – The Good Place
Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Allison Janney – Mom
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep
Lily Tomlin – Grace and Frankie
….. if 7, add Natasha Lyonne – Russian Doll
alt. Alison Brie – GLOW / Tracee Ellis Ross – black-ish / Christina Applegate – Dead to Me

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Alan Arkin – The Kominsky Method
Tituss Burgess – Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Tony Hale – Veep
Timothy Simons – Veep
Tony Shalhoub – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Henry Winkler – Barry
….. if 7, add Matt Walsh – Veep
alt. Kenan Thompson – Saturday Night Live / Marc Maron – GLOW / Stephen Root – Barry

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Alex Borstein – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Aidy Bryant – Saturday Night Live
Anna Chlumsky – Veep
Olivia Colman – Fleabag
Betty Gilpin – GLOW
Kate McKinnon – Saturday Night Live
….. if 7, add Leslie Jones – Saturday Night Live
….. if 8, add Cecily Strong – Saturday Night Live
alt. Marin Hinkle – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES
Barry – “The Audition” – Alec Berg
Barry – “ronny/lily” – Bill Hader
The Big Bang Theory – “The Stockholm Syndrome” – Mark Cendrowski
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “All Alone” – Amy Sherman-Palladino
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “We’re Going to the Catskills!” – Daniel Palladino
Veep – “Discovery Weekend” – Dale Stern
Veep – “Veep”
alt. GLOW – “Mother of All Matches” – Mark A. Burley & John Cameron Mitchell / Russian Doll – “Ariadne” – Natasha Lyonne

WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES
Barry – “ronny/lily”
Fleabag – “Episode 01”
GLOW – “Nothing Shattered”
The Kominsky Method – “Chapter One: An Actor Avoids”
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “Vote for Kennedy, Vote for Kennedy”
Veep – “Veep”
alt. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “Night at the Concorde” / The Good Place – “Pandemonium” / Russian Doll – “Nothing in This World is Easy”

GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Danny DeVito – The Kominsky Method
Luke Kirby – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Peter MacNicol – Veep
John Mulaney – Saturday Night Live
Paul Rudd – Saturday Night Live
Adam Sandler – Saturday Night Live
alt. Matt Damon – Saturday Night Live / Adam Driver – Saturday Night Live / Adam Scott – The Good Place

GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Jane Lynch – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Sandra Oh – Saturday Night Live
Maya Rudolph – The Good Place
Molly Shannon – Will & Grace
Wanda Sykes – black-ish
Emma Thompson – Saturday Night Live
alt. Christine Baranski – The Big Bang Theory / Sally Phillips – Veep / Regina King – The Big Bang Theory / Cate Blanchett – Documentary Now!

 

LIMITED SERIES
Chernobyl
Escape at Dannemora
Fosse/Verdon
Sharp Objects
When They See Us
….. if 6, add The Hot Zone
alt. The Act

TV MOVIE
Bandersnatch (Black Mirror)
Brexit
Deadwood
King Lear
Native Son
alt. My Dinner with Hervé / Icebox / O.G.

ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Mahershala Ali – True Detective
Benedict Cumberbatch – Brexit
Benicio del Toro – Escape at Dannemora
Hugh Grant – A Very English Scandal
Jared Harris – Chernobyl
Sam Rockwell – Fosse/Verdon
….. if 7, add Ian McShane – Deadwood
alt. Jharrel Jerome – When They See Us / Anthony Hopkins – King Lear
ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Amy Adams – Sharp Objects
Patricia Arquette – Escape at Dannemora
Connie Britton – Dirty John
Julianna Margulies – The Hot Zone
Emma Stone – Maniac
Michelle Williams – Fosse/Verdon
….. if 7, add Joey King – The Act
alt. Niecy Nash – When They See Us

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Paul Dano – Escape at Dannemora
Gerald McRaney – Deadwood
Chris Messina – Sharp Objects
Stellan Skarsgård – Chernobyl
Ben Whishaw – A Very English Scandal
Michael K. Williams – When They See Us
alt. Kyle Chandler – Catch-22 / Calum Worthy – The Act / Justin Theroux – Maniac

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Patricia Arquette – The Act
Patricia Clarkson – Sharp Objects
Vera Farmiga – When They See Us
Anna Gunn – Deadwood
Eliza Scanlan – Sharp Objects
Emily Watson – Chernobyl
alt. Emma Thompson – King Lear / Elizabeth Reaser – The Haunting of Hill House

DIRECTING IN A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE, OR DRAMA SPECIAL
The Act – “Free” – Steven Piet
Chernobyl – Johan Renck
Deadwood – Daniel Minahan
Escape at Dannemora – Ben Stiller
Sharp Objects – Jean-Marc Vallée
When They See Us – Ava DuVernay
….. if 7, add Fosse/Verdon – “Glory” – Jessica Yu
alt. The Haunting of Hill House – Mike Flanagan / Maniac – Cary Joji Fukunaga

WRITING IN A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE, OR DRAMA SPECIAL
The Act – “Free”
Chernobyl
Deadwood
Escape at Dannemora – “Episode 7”
Sharp Objects – “Milk”
When They See Us – “Part Four”
alt. Fosse/Verdon – “Providence” / Bandersnatch (Black Mirror) / A Very English Scandal

Advertisements

Baby Driver (2017) / Christopher Robin (2018) / You Were Never Really Here (2018)

BABY DRIVER [2017, A-/B+] – Ace humor; of course, it’s E. Wright. Really reaches peaks when it goes dark and stakes become palpable. Cast lives up to more brutal sides of narrative, characters. Slick style makes it edgy and lean. Wish it dwelt more on the romance, but we’re cool.

CHRISTOPHER ROBIN [2018, B/B-] – Was it practicing restraint in movie magic or was it simply dull? Either way, it effectively imbues necessary charm for emotional investment in an otherwise predictable, low-risk narrative. Impeccable visual effects; it’s seamless and delightful.

YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE [2018, A-] – Intense and cutting. Unafraid to immerse in the darkness of human experience. Ramsey exemplifies masterful eye; every stylistic choice aligned. Phoenix continues to reach unpredictable heights, holding it in until his terrifying implosion.

Beauty and the Beast (2017) / Deepwater Horizon (2016) / Lady Macbeth (2017)

DEEPWATER HORIZON [2016, A-/B+] – Ignore icky foreshadowing devices (there were a lot). Setup becomes more effective in dialogue. Terrific build-up. Once it hits its centerpiece, it’s exhilarating. Top-notch sound design, visuals. Surprisingly moving. A thrilling experience.

BEAUTY AND THE BEAST [2017, C/C+] – Exquisite visual panache can’t really make up for the fact that the first 2/3 is emotionally empty, with no real stakes. Forgettable music too. But something happens with the ballroom scene onwards. At least it had an engaging denouement.

LADY MACBETH [2017, B+] – Deliciously opaque and distilled. Moves in a calculated pace, carefully inching in details with alarming precision. Pugh is a true force of nature. In her threatening quietness, her piercing eyes, voice, and posture suggest menace. Astonishing work.

13 Hours (2016) / The Florida Project (2017) / Beautiful Boy (2018)

THE FLORIDA PROJECT [2017, A-/B+] – Immersive but unobtrusive. Vibrant but grounded. Patiently assembles scenes of seemingly sporadic buildup but rich characterization, only to accumulate its emotional gut punch by its finale. Baker realizes palpable life in every shot. The cast!

BEAUTIFUL BOY [2018, C] – So much potential in the material. So what happened? Feels tentative. I don’t approve of overarching visual style. Some odd editing, music choices. Tried to be a dual-faced family drama, only to serve an undercooked version of both sides. Chalamet MVP.

13 HOURS: THE SECRET SOLDIERS OF BENGHAZI [2016, B-] – Starts really dull with forced, half-baked backstories. Eschews deeper political discourse for more focus in action. Excellent sound design. Overlong, but delivers the thrills, if not covering new grounds. Quite engrossing.

Hail, Caesar! / The Jungle Book / Passengers (2016) / Roman J. Israel, Esq. (2017)

HAIL, CAESAR! [2016/B/B-] – Lush visuals. Terrific casting. Actors bring infectious joy to idiosyncratic story. So why do I feel indifferent? Either the film just failed to build up tension in narrative or it’s just too busy relishing in multiple narrative strands. Low-tier Coen.

PASSENGERS [2016, B/B-] – Did it want to be a survivalist drama, a romantic-comedy, or a space thriller? Taken individually, they work. As a whole, it’s an undecided, incongruous mesh of underexplored ideas. Visuals and music its peaks. There’s a better film in here somewhere.

THE JUNGLE BOOK [2016, B/B+] – I’m still tentative about the over-all look, but damn it’s a technical marvel to behold. Fascinating detours the plot takes are mere distractions from narrative’s thinness. Didn’t have a strong emotional connection, but it’s an exciting experience.

ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. [2017, B/B+] – Straddles a lot of issues, only to blunt them when narrative veers into personal drama. Mixed results on tonal shifts. Makes up for substantial focus on lead. Washington amazes in tricky character, so skillful in specificities and nuances.

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them / Suicide Squad / Sully (2016) / If Beale Street Could Talk (2018)

SULLY [2016, B+] – Scene plotting works small wonders, bringing accumulative power in succinct narrative. Hanks in top form. Brilliant, sensitive even in the subtlest of nuances. Deserved better VFx. Aesthetic leanness works; could’ve been pushed more, but I’m fine with this.

FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM [2016, B/B-] – Visuals astound, save for some of the fantastic beasts and their inconsistent visual effects. Narrative either becomes too busy or just simply dull. Visual splendor can only do so much if story has weak emotional core.

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK [2018, A] – Lived-in performances. Richly layered writing. Exquisite cinematography. Sweeping music. Jenkins holds nothing back in this timeless mirror of America, love, and life. Its beauty fills my heart. A love story for the ages. A film to remember.

SUICIDE SQUAD [2016, C/C-] – Cast obviously try to do their best (Davis, Robbie, Leto, etc.) with underdeveloped characters stranded in messy, convoluted narrative. Visuals go from cluttered to really good. Overlong. I’m supposed to like it less, but I actually kinda enjoyed it.

Can You Ever Forgive Me? / On the Basis of Sex / Boy Erased (2018) / Isn’t It Romantic (2019)

CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME? [2018, B+] – Delicately told narrative handled with precise direction and masterful tonal shifts. McCarthy, Grant securely evoke humor, pathos in beautifully flawed characters. Thrills in its unshowy attention to detail. Confidently humane storytelling.

ISN’T IT ROMANTIC [2019, B] – Narrative quickly runs out, but then commits to the film’s premise (cinematography! production design! music!) and allows Wilson to shine as a rom-com lead. Occasionally endangers itself in falling to the tropes it’s parodying, but Wilson’s a keeper.

ON THE BASIS OF SEX [2018, B] – Succeeds more as time capsule of gender struggle than as clear-eyed portrait. On the verge of making its subject saint-like. Economically visualized. Musical machinations obvious at times. Jones in top form, bringing necessary gusto. I teared up.

BOY ERASED [2018, A-] – Confidently photographed. Amplifies nuances of each emotional beat. Slowly, ever carefully nudges the narrative stakes up. Hinges on assured direction and terrific performances. Exudes so much power in subtlety, punches up skillfully in crucial moments.