So, here it is. Arrangement of nominees is by the chances of getting the nominees nominated.
PICTURE
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- Hugo
- The Tree of Life
- The Help
- Midninght in Paris
- Moneyball
- War Horse
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Bridesmaids
Possibilities: Drive, The Ides of March, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
DIRECTOR
- Michael Hazanavicius (The Artist)
- Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
- Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
- Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
- Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Possibilities: David Fincher (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo), Steven Spielberg (War Horse), Nicolas Winding Refn (Drive), Bennett Miller (Moneyball)
L. ACTOR
- Jean Dujardin(The Artist)
- Geroge Clooney (The Descendants)
- Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
- Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
- Michael Fassbender (Shame)
Possibilities: Michael Shannon (Take Shelter), Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March), Demian Bichir (A Better Life), Ryan Gosling (Drive)
L. ACTRESS
- Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
- Viola Davis (The Help)
- Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)
- Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
- Rooney Mara (The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo)
Possibilities: Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs), Charlize Theron (Young Adult), Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids), Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
S. ACTOR
- Christopher Plummer(Beginners)
- Kenneth Branagh (My Week With Marilyn)
- Albert Brooks (Drive)
- Nick Nolte (Warrior)
- Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Possibilities: Armie Hammer (J. Edgar), Patton Oswalt (Young Adult), Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method), Corey Stoll (Midnight in Paris)
S. ACTRESS
- Octavia Spencer (The Help)
- Jessica Chastain (The Help)
- Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
- Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
- Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Possibilities: Shailene Woodley (The Descendants), Carey Mulligan (Shame), Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
O. SCREENPLAY
- The Artist
- Midnight in Paris
- Bridesmaids
- Young Adult
- A Separation
Possibilities: 50/50, Margin Call, Win Win, Beginners
A. SCREENPLAY
- The Descendants
- Moneyball
- Hugo
- The Help
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Possibilities: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, War Horse
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- War Horse
- The Artist
- Hugo
- The Tree of Life
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Possibilities: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, Drive
F. EDITING
- The Artist
- Hugo
- Moneyball
- War Horse
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Possibilities: The Descendants, The Tree of Life, Drive, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
S. MIXING
- Rise of the Planet of the Apes
- Hugo
- War Horse
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Moneyball
Possibilities: Transformers 3, Hanna, Super 8, The Adventures of Tintin
S. EDITING
- Rise of the Planet of the Apes
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Super 8
- Transformers 3
- Hugo
Possibilities: Hanna, War Horse, Drive, The Adventures of Tintin
O. MUSIC SCORE
- War Horse
- The Artist
- Hugo
- The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
- Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Possibilities: The Skin I Live In, The Adventures of Tintin, The Help, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
VISUAL EFFECTS
- Rise of the Planet of the Apes
- Hugo
- The Tree of Life
- Captain America
- Harry Potter 2
Possibilities: Transformers 3, Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol, X Men: First Class
MAKE UP
- The Iron Lady
- Albert Nobbs
- Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life
- The Artist
- Anonymous
Possibilities: none
COSTUME DESIGN
- Hugo
- My Week With Marilyn
- The Help
- The Artist
- Jane Eyre
Possibilities: The Iron Lady, WE, Anonymous, War Horse
ART DIRECTION
- Hugo
- The Artist
- Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
- The Help
- War Horse
Possibilities: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, The Tree of Life, A Dangerous Method
ORIGINAL SONG
- “Lay Down Your Head” – Albert Nobbs
- “The Living Proof” – The Help
- “Life’s A Happy Song” – The Muppets
- “Star Spangled Man” – Captain America
- “Pictures in My Head” – The Muppets
Possibilities: “Coeur Volant” – Hugo, “Man or Muppet” – The Muppets, “Hello Hello” – Gnomeo and Juliet, “The Backson Song” – Winnie the Pooh, “So Long” – Winnie the Pooh
FOREIGN FILM
- A Separation (Iran)
- Pina (Germany)
- In Darkness (Poland)
- Footnote (Israel)
- Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
Possibilities: Superclasico (Denmark), Bullhead (Belgium)
ANIMATED FEATURE
- Rango
- Arthur Christmas
- The Adventures of Tintin
- Chico and Rita
- Puss in Boots
Possibilities: A Cat in Paris, Rio, Kung Fu Panda 2, Cars 2, Happy Feet 2
I’m going to watch the Oscar nominations in Oscars’ live streaming in Youtube. Just so excited. Let’s see. =)))

I agree with most of these predictions, but my guess is that Glenn Close is going to take Rooney Mara’s spot. It wouldn’t shock me to see it go the other way, but I still think the Academy skews toward older actresses with established careers. I also wonder if there will be 10 Best Picture nominations. i do think that if there are less (like maybe 8), your bottom will be the ones that drop.